Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 3.440864 3.651444 3.875454 4.132745 4.421695 4.738094 5.113412
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 3.257647 3.556767 3.891910 4.299839 4.789519 5.367412 6.115382
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 2.987998 3.328942 3.725586 4.230030 4.868430 5.670674 6.793547
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2.750230 3.113718 3.549646 4.124760 4.886808 5.900858 7.432088
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.571203 2.953089 3.423852 4.066485 4.956553 6.211356 8.266888
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2.424566 2.820452 3.320716 4.025532 5.043984 6.565186 9.283753
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2.341222 2.761236 3.306538 4.102493 5.310660 7.247020 11.128492
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2.183466 2.594136 3.135128 3.940328 5.197105 7.297164 11.825715
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 2.107239 2.529992 3.098733 3.969855 5.388083 7.918736 14.095810
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.031221 2.460941 3.049753 3.974961 5.540762 8.517484 16.807467
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.928523 2.349271 2.932216 3.862702 5.476321 8.673896 18.458059
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.830560 2.239296 2.810478 3.733452 5.365389 8.710880 19.826720
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.784270 2.207738 2.813617 3.826883 5.721332 10.025481 29.082007
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.752135 2.194471 2.843611 3.971346 6.220777 12.041123 54.026788
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.674807 2.110925 2.759536 3.909656 6.288189 12.945655 86.150993
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.597620 2.023542 2.663620 3.817158 6.273793 13.629065 150.098699
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.535483 1.955423 2.593869 3.765690 6.347260 14.739627 553.010249
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.481480 1.896771 2.535444 3.729430 6.453417 16.149103 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.450995 1.872174 2.530843 3.796248 6.842173 19.468492 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.385437 1.790453 2.426058 3.654195 6.644859 19.488684 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.353729 1.759821 2.405374 3.679795 6.923275 23.017157 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.320657 1.725398 2.375885 3.684058 7.146987 26.984518 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.273434 1.666652 2.301097 3.585559 7.035288 27.959526 NaN